Market disparities always exist across the country based on crop production, storage capacity, and the strength of local demand, but this year has seemingly stretched the regional differences to a more extreme degree. Basis, which is a function of the regional supply and demand balance, currently shows cash grain prices starkly firmer in the East versus weaker the West. Watch for signs that the basis gap is narrowing because the crop has been put away in the Western Corn Belt as better export demand develops from shippers in the Pacific Northwest. A bumper crop will pad stocks in the Western Corn Belt for a long time to come, but returning Chinese soybean demand out of the Pacific Northwest ports would have to compete with a corn export program that is running hotter than ever. PNW export inspections of corn during the last reporting week totaled over 1 million metric tons versus 191,000 mt a year ago. Soybean shipments from the PNW were only 40,000 mt for the week compared to 584,000 mt at this point last year. Soybean processors in the West have faced considerably less competition from the export market so far this season and the only…
Futures trading involves risk. The risk of loss in trading futures and/or options is substantial and each investor and/or trader must consider whether this is a suitable investment. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Trading advice is based on information taken from trades and statistical services and other sources that CommStock Investments believes to be reliable. We do not guarantee that such information is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. Trading advice reflects our good faith judgment at a specific time and is subject to change without notice.
There is no guarantee that the advice we give will result in profitable trades.
The views and opinions expressed in this newsletter are those of the author and do not reflect those of R.J. O'Brien & Associates LLC. This report may contain political opinions as well as market opinions and commentary. Any content provided by Commstock Investments or authors are of their opinion and are not intended to malign any religion, ethnic group, club, organization, company, individual or anyone or anything.
